Anhui 2012 cotton market

According to statistics from the Anhui Cotton Association, the cotton planting area in Anhui in 2012/13 was about 4.7 million mu, which was 12.14% lower than the 5.35 million mu in 2011/12. The decline in the cotton area in the north of Anhui Province was relatively large and affected by the adjustment of planting structure. The original main producing counties and cities will not grow cotton; the decline in the areas along the Yangtze River will be relatively small, showing a miniature posture. As of now, the weather conditions during the cotton growing season in Anhui are relatively normal this year, and the cotton growth is generally normal. From the monitoring data of cotton associations, the average cotton yield per year will reach about 254 kg, which is 1.55% lower than the 258 kg in 2011/12. It is estimated that the annual output of lint will be about 280,000 tons, a decrease of 22.86% from the 363,000 tons in 2011/12; it is estimated that the clothing is divided into 37.5 points lower than that of 2011/12. The main reason for the decrease in cotton planting area is that the guidance price for storage and storage at 20,400 yuan/ton is far below the psychological expectations of cotton farmers. Farmers have abandoned cultivation of cotton and changed rice, corn or cash crops. Many farmers have said that the current price of agricultural materials has only risen. According to the price of RMB 20,400/tonne, the purchase price of seed cotton was only increased by RMB 0.11/kg compared with 2011, and cotton planting would be unprofitable. If the guidance price of temporary storage in the next year rose below the minimum price for grain protection, cotton would be abandoned. It is expected that the cotton planting area in Anhui will continue to decrease in 2013-14, and the reduction is estimated to be approximately 10%.

At present, most regions in the province are gradually entering the harvesting period. The northern cotton area has begun to pull rods. As of December 20, the province's picking is basically completed. The seed cotton sales situation is relatively good, and cotton farmers are more willing to sell, as of 12 On the 20th of the month, the progress of seed cotton sales in the province was about 95%. Except for a few areas (such as the arrival of local seed cotton in some parts of the region until about the end of the New Year's Day), the basic acquisition of high-quality seed cotton was over in most areas, and the remaining cotton farmers were mostly frost yellow. In cotton, the main buyer of the market is a 400-type enterprise. More than 70% of the 200-type enterprises did not open the door for acquisition this year, and most of the rest were also used as acquisition points for 400-type enterprises. The average market price was 4.3 yuan/kg (3 level seed cotton, clothing). Points 37.5, moisture 10), 4 is 4.2 yuan / kg. From the perspective of enterprise processing progress, as of December 20, the processing progress of seed cotton in our province is about 90%, some companies will complete the processing after New Year's Day, except for a small part of lint into the futures market, most of the lint have entered the State Reserve, the market Less sales of lint. At present, the start-up situation of textile enterprises is relatively poor. Orders since September are mostly short-term orders. Spinning companies use lint-to-buy strategies, and they prefer to purchase imported cotton.